Nawaz sarif faught and won elections with promise of improving relation with India and getting back Pak economy on track. These were the two most important promises among others. After comming to power in mid 2013 , he did lots of gesturing toward India to send a message that he is keen to establish a flourishing relation, but nothing solid action had been taken on the part of Pakistan to support the gesturing.
On the contrary , Modi faught and won the election on promise to send a strong message to Pakistan that India's concerns must be taken seriously , plus terrorism and talks cannot go side-by-side. But there is one common ground that both the prime minister are pro-business and both want to revive there respective GDP growth rate.
Political enviroment in Pakistan is not so stable , Tahreek-e-taliban-pakistan(TTP) is the major headache , secessionist element in balochistan, insurgency in karanchi. Abdullah Abdullah likely to take over power in Afganistan after karzai. Modi a hardliner as deemed in pakistan has take over as PM in India. On the economic front Nawaz sarif govt is not able to deliver as what was expected from him. All these have created lots of cynisim in Pakistan and Opposition led by Imran Kham is trying to harness it . In this situation Nawaz Sarif is politically weak right now in pakistan . Moreover Nawaz sarif hate relation with Parvez Mussaraf and his trials had cost Sarif a significant loss of respect in some section of military .
Domesticaly weak leader have very less to offer and deliver , In current scenario Modi will demand more and more and Nawaz will have nothing to deliver rather than gesturing. Narendra Modi's cheif demands may include mumbai 2008 convicts , daood ibrahim, peace on LoC. Firstly,Given the civil-military relation in Pak peace on Loc cannot be sustained. Secondly, conviction of mumbai convicts are distant reality becuase of internal pakistani politics as for that he have to confront with right wing militants which can be risky and counter productive for his own political interest .lastly daood , who have footprints both in saudi and pakistan and given the relation of Nawaz with saudi this also can be seen as a non-deliverable. Nawaz sarif have to do lot of political management domesticaly before comming in postion to deliver something for betterment of Indo-Pak relation.
Moreover, the recent miliant attack on Herat indicate that inteligence agencies in pakistan are trying to stab any possibilty toward "aman-ki-asha" as evident from Indian inteligence report which claims that this attack was hastly drafted .
Bigger picture suggest that to expect any major success in Indo-Pak relation in near future will only be over optimism. Although the hope should never be dropped , because a strong ,stable and friendly pakistan is in Indias interst. some amount of patience and prudence is required on both the side and hand holding should be done by both toward "Aman ki aasha".
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